Research Article |
Corresponding author: Maarten Pronk ( maarten.pronk@nl.ey.com ) Academic editor: Annemarie Oord
© 2024 Kurmanbek Meirkulov, Nicole Pavlides, Maarten Pronk, Erik Roelofsen.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits to copy and distribute the article for non-commercial purposes, provided that the article is not altered or modified and the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Meirkulov K, Pavlides N, Pronk M, Roelofsen E (2024) Earnings conference calls and annual reports, similar or different information? In: Oord A, Verhoek H (Eds) Het jaar 2023 verslagen. Maandblad voor Accountancy en Bedrijfseconomie 98(6): 379-389. https://doi.org/10.5117/mab.98.136140
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Nearly half of the questions raised in the Q&A part of earnings conference calls is related to topics which are not discussed in the presentation part. The difference between the Q&A and the annual report is even larger. The majority of topics in the Q&A is not raised in the annual report. Interviews with investor relation officers indicate that they consider the conference calls and annual reports as information channels with a different purpose, where conference calls are meant to inform the markets about the progress in executing the strategy and to reinforce key messages.
Earnings conference calls, annual reports, investor relations officer
The Q&A part of conference calls should not be ignored by investors. Although annual reports and presentations are important sources of information for investors, lenders and other creditors, the Q&A part of conference calls addresses different topics. Hence, for a complete set of information the Q&A should be taken into account as well.
An earnings conference call is an event where a company’s management presents the results of the previous quarter and/or year and answers questions raised by equity analysts. In general, earnings conference calls happen shortly after the release of a quarterly or annual earnings announcement. Earnings conference calls are different from 1-to-1 as more than one analyst can raise questions during the calls and also others can follow the call. An important feature of the conference calls is the question-and-answer part (‘Q&A’) which distinguishes the calls from podcasts and other one-way-communication.
Earnings conference calls are not a new phenomenon. In fact, they are around for more than thirty years. During this period, earnings conference calls have developed into a widely used channel for listed companies to share information with investors.
The earnings conference call is a voluntary information event in addition to mandatory information sources like annual reports. Prior studies have demonstrated that in both the presentation by management and the question-and-answer section with analysts, meaningful new information is conveyed to investors. However, research into the link between the presentation and Q&A part of conference calls and between earnings conference calls and annual reports is scarce. We extend current research by investigating whether the topics raised in the Q&A are different from the topics addressed in the presentation and/or annual report.
Overall, our findings indicate that the topics discussed in the Q&A are largely different from the topics addressed in the annual report. Hence, the added value of the conference calls is not only more timely communication, but also the discussion of different topics. There is also a difference between the topics raised in the Q&A and topics addressed in the presentation during the conference call. Interviews with investor relation officers reveal that they consider earning conference calls and annual reports as information channels with a different purpose which could be an explanation for the different content.
Section 2 contains a review of the research on earnings conference calls. The research questions and research design are discussed in section 3 and 4. Sections 5 up to 9 present the results, while section 10 summarizes the interviews with investor relation managers. The conclusions are included in Section 11.
Soon after the introduction of earnings conference calls in the 1990s, accounting researchers started investigating the phenomenon. Early papers demonstrated that earnings conference calls contain information over and above the corresponding press release (
With the advent of Regulation Fair Disclosure in the year 2000, transcripts of conference calls became widely available, offering new opportunities for research. The first papers to use these transcripts showed that both the presentation part and the question-and-answer part, provide new information to investors (
One explanation is that linguistic “soft” information is used by investors in their investment decisions. This includes linguistic features, but also the tone and sentiment of conference calls. An example of a linguistic feature is reported by
Another plausible explanation of the information content of the presentation, is that investors observe the tone and sentiment of conference calls and distill information from it.
The extent to which investors use the tone of language in conference calls, differs between sophisticated and unsophisticated investors (
The evidence that the question-and-answer part of conference calls move stock markets, suggests that executives are not fully aware of the information needs of investors, or that executives strategically convey certain information only in response to questions from analyst (
Although sell-side analysts are the most active in the question-and-answer part of the earnings conference call, the buy-side is often present in the call, particularly when sell-side coverage is low, or when sell-side earnings forecasts are widely dispersed (
Research into the link between earnings conference calls and the financial statements is scarce. One of the few papers to explicitly address this link is also one of the first papers studying earnings conference calls.
Both research into the link between the presentation and Q&A part of earnings conference calls and research into the link between earnings conference calls and annual reports are scarce. While there is evidence that information is revealed during the Q&A, it is not clear whether the additional information is a further clarification of topics already addressed in the presentation or whether the additional information relates to different topics. In addition, it has not been investigated how the topics discussed in the Q&A relate to the contents of the annual report. In case the annual report is released before the conference call, the Q&A could be a further clarification of the topics discussed in the annual report or relate to different topics. If the annual report is released after the earnings conference call, analysts may use the Q&A to get access to information which otherwise will be revealed at a later stage in the annual report. Alternatively, they may raise questions on topics which will not be addressed in the annual report. We extend current research by addressing the following questions:
Answers to these questions will provide a possible explanation for the added value of conference calls which has been documented in prior research. Hence, our study does not provide evidence that conference calls have added value but provides an explanation why the calls have added value.
Our population consists of all AEX entities in 2023 excluding financial institutions. We exclude financial institutions as the questions raised during conference calls of these entities are different from questions in conference calls of other entities. Appendix
Figure
Figure
Looking at the timing of the conference call and annual report per entity, we notice that 65% of the entities held the conference call before the publication of the annual report with an average time gap of twenty days. In the seven cases in which the conference call was held after the publication of the annual report, the conference call happened on the same day or the next day.
The transcripts indicate that in all cases the CFO is present in the conference call. The CEO was present in 95% of the calls and the investor relations officer actively participated in 60% of the calls. In 15% of the calls also some other entity participant joined, such as an executive chairman, chief digital officer or chief investment officer.
Figure
The transcripts indicate that on average nine analysts participate in a conference call with a minimum number of four and a maximum number of eighteen.
The average duration of the conference calls is 64 minutes. The shortest call is 35 minutes and the longest 95 minutes.
Figure
Figure
In total, 385 questions were raised in the twenty conference calls. 158 (41%) questions relate to financial information, such as revenue, EBITDA, margins, CAPEX, working capital, expenses, free cash flow, foreign currency effects, impairment and depreciation and amortisation. 227 (59%) questions have a different focus which we describe below as non-financial questions.
In Table
Type of financial question | Number of questions | As a % of all financial questions |
---|---|---|
Company | 117 | 74% |
Segment | 41 | 26% |
Past | 28 | 18% |
Present | 41 | 26% |
Future | 89 | 56% |
GAAP | 94 | 59% |
Non-GAAP | 64 | 41% |
Performance | 125 | 79% |
Financial position | 6 | 4% |
Investments | 15 | 9% |
Other cash flows | 12 | 8% |
Table
Type of non-financial question | Number of questions | As a % of all non-financial questions |
---|---|---|
Company | 160 | 70% |
Segment | 67 | 30% |
Past | 11 | 5% |
Present | 154 | 68% |
Future | 62 | 27% |
Operational | 183 | 81% |
Financing | 4 | 2% |
Governance | 10 | 4% |
Marketing | 28 | 12% |
Sustainability | 2 | 1% |
Only two questions directly relate to sustainability. These questions are:
In addition, Wolters Kluwer has six questions related to their new segment ‘Corporate Performance & ESG’ which sells enterprise software to drive financial and sustainability performance and manage risks, meet reporting requirements, improve safety and productivity, and reduce environmental impact. ArcelorMittal has one question on their new segment ‘Sustainable Solution’. As these questions are more focused on the operations and governance of these segments, we classified them accordingly.
This lack of questions does not imply that equity analysts are not interested in sustainability related information. It is possible that the analysts do not consider these calls the right moment to talk about sustainability. In fact, the question in the conference call of Shell is referring to another ESG related meeting.
One of our research questions is whether the questions in the Q&A are follow up questions on topics already raised or discussed in the presentation part of the conference call or are questions on different, new topics. 55% of the questions raised relates to topics mentioned or discussed in the presentation, while 45% of the questions raised relates to topics which are not included in the presentation.
For the 158 financial questions, 63% of the questions relates to topics mentioned in the presentation. For most of the categories of financial information with more than 15 questions (as depicted in Table
Some examples of questions regarding financial information on new topics are:
For the 227 non-financial questions, 50% of the questions relates to topics mentioned in the presentation. Hence, the non-financial questions are less often follow up questions. For most of the categories of non-financial questions with more than 15 questions (as depicted in Table
Some examples of questions regarding non-financial information on new topics are:
Another research question is whether the questions in the Q&A are related to topics addressed in the annual report, which includes the financial statements, director’s report, report of the supervisory board and similar information. Out of the 385 questions asked in the conference calls, 26% relates to topics raised (whether briefly raised or discussed in detail) in the annual report. Hence, the majority of the questions relates to different, new topics.
Of the financial questions, 30% relates to topics that are addressed in the annual report. The questions on segment (34%), past (46%) and present (41%) are relatively more often related to topics that are raised in the annual report and the questions on the future less often (20%).
Some examples of questions regarding financial information on topics which are included in the annual report are:
Some examples of questions regarding financial information on topics which are not mentioned in the annual report are:
Of the non-financial questions 23% relate to topics that are addressed in the annual report which is lower than the 30% for financial questions. There are no meaningful differences across the categories of non-financial questions. Some examples of questions regarding non-financial information on topics which are included in the annual report are:
Some examples of questions regarding non-financial information on topics which are not addressed in the annual report are:
264 questions relate to entities with a conference call before the publication of the annual report. Of those questions, 23% relates to topics which are addressed in the annual report. For the entities with a conference call after the publication of the annual report, 31% of the questions relates to topics which are addressed in the annual report. For the financial questions these percentages for conference calls before or after the publication of the annual report are 28% and 35%, respectively. For the non-financial questions, the percentages are 21% and 28%, respectively. Although the timing of the conference call has some impact, the majority of the questions relates to topics which are not raised in the annual report. In addition, the results suggest that analysts do not use the conference calls to retrieve information which will later be communicated through the annual report.
Figure
As expected, based on the previous findings, there is a difference between the financial and non-financial questions. 19% of the financial questions is related to topics not addressed in the presentation and/or annual report compared to 42% of the non-financial questions.
For most of the categories of financial information with more than 15 questions (as depicted in Table
For most of the categories of non-financial information with more than 15 questions (as depicted in Table
To get a better understanding of the purpose and use of conference calls, we also interviewed three investor relations officers (IROs) of AEX firms.
Earnings conference calls are perceived by each of the IROs as a key element of their investor communications. Whilst the capital markets day is the most significant event on the investor relations calendar because it provides an update on the overall strategy, the earnings conference calls are also a key event to inform the markets about the progress in executing the strategy and to reinforce key messages. Although each of the IROs consider the annual report an important document, in their view the role of the annual report is mostly confined to a post hoc documentation and a compliance document. It serves as a reference document for investors but is not a key document to convey new information. This is reflected in the roles and responsibilities surrounding the preparation of the annual report. In contrast to the earnings conference calls, the accounting and reporting departments are generally in the lead to prepare the annual report. The investor relations department typically reviews the document and provides input, but does not have a key role in determining the content of the annual report. The feedback in earnings conference calls, may have an impact on some of the content in the annual report, but there is no explicit feedback loop.
Some firms have a pre-closing call that is conducted just before the closed period preceding the earnings announcement. In this call the firm already provides an update on the quarter. As a result, the earnings surprise at the date of the earnings announcement will be reduced. Other firms just provide a written trading update, but do not conduct a call.
All IROs say that there is a script for the presentation part of the call and a briefing of the executives speaking on the call. Part of the briefing includes the questions that are anticipated. None of the companies scripts word-for-word responses to these questions, but normally the investor relations department provides talking points and, if relevant, key data that the executives may need in answering the questions. The IROs are aware that linguistic tone and tone of voice can be interpreted by investors. There is some variance between firms in the extent to which this is explicitly being considered in the preparation for the call. Some IROs believe that tone and demeanor become more relevant now that there is a trend that earnings conference calls include video. The demeanor of executives will become more salient to investors as a result of this. Also, with the inclusion of videos, there is another trend where companies do not just script the presentation, but also screen prepared videos. These videos may provide additional soft information to investors.
Each of the IROs says that they do not select analysts who are allowed to ask a question based on how favourable their recommendation is. Hence, they do not confirm the finding by
Some of the IROs say that they listen to the earnings conference calls of peer companies to gather intelligence about these other companies. The extent to which this is done varies per firm. The most typical method is to review the transcripts of the earnings conference calls of peers.
Finally, the IROs are aware that earnings conference calls are moving the markets in real time. They believe that the main investors who trade based on conference calls are traders who are pursuing to make relatively short-term gains. Algorithmic trading based on automated analysis of real time transcripts may develop further with the rise of AI. At the same time, IROs are not too concerned about this, because how communication affects the stock price is a key concern in all the interactions they have. From that perspective, conference calls are not different.
Our findings reveal that 45% of the questions raised during the Q&A relates to topics which are not included in the presentation. Hence, the Q&A is not only used to get further clarification on topics already covered by management in the presentation, because there are topics which analysts consider important but are not discussed during the presentation part. These questions are more often non-financial in nature.
Regarding the relationship between the Q&A and the annual report, 26% of the questions relates to topics raised (whether briefly raised or discussed in detail) in the annual report. These results suggest that the type of topics discussed in the annual report and Q&A are clearly different. Hence, conference calls are not only used to get a further clarification of the content of the annual report (if the annual report is released before the conference call) or get information earlier (if the annual report is released after the conference call). Even if the presentation and annual report are combined, still 32% of the questions raised in the Q&A is not addressed in the other communications.
The interviews with the IROs reveal that entities do not strive to address the same topics in the conference call and the annual report. The conference calls are meant to inform the markets about the progress in executing the strategy and to reinforce key messages. The IROs consider the annual report more as a post hoc documentation and a compliance document and the responsibility of other departments. Hence, the IROs see the earnings conference call as a distinct disclosure event in its own right, rather than just a further clarification of the press release or annual report. In addition, there is no explicit feedback loop between the content of the earnings conference call and the annual report.
Overall, the findings indicate that earnings conference calls are an important source of information for investors. The added value is not only more timely communication or further clarification, but also the discussion of different topics. Although the IROs indicate that there is no explicit feedback loop between the earnings conference calls and annual reports, it would be interesting to investigate whether over time the content of the presentation and the annual report changes due to questions raised in previous conference calls.
K. Meirkulov – Kurmanbek is Senior Manager at EY.
N. Pavlides CA(SA) – Nicole is a South African Chartered Accountant and employee at EY.
Prof. dr. M. Pronk – Maarten is full professor Financial Accounting at the Erasmus University Rotterdam and partner at EY.
Prof. dr. E. Roelofsen RA – Erik is full professor of International Financial Reporting and Capital Market Communications at the Erasmus University Rotterdam.
We thank Andreas Bork of Shell, Anna Dumanska of Prosus, and Martijn van Hasselt of Ahold Delhaize for their cooperation and valuable input.
Company | Date conference call | Date annual report |
---|---|---|
Adyen N.V. | 08-02-2024 | 01-03-2024 |
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. | 14-02-2024 | 27-02-2024 |
Akzo Nobel N.V. | 07-02-2024 | 26-02-2024 |
ArcelorMittal S.A. | 08-02-2024 | 28-02-2024 |
ASM International NV | 28-02-2024 | 01-03-2024 |
ASML Holding N.V. | 24-01-2024 | 14-02-2024 |
BE Semiconductor Industries N.V. | 22-02-2024 | 21-02-2024 |
DSM-Firmenich AG | 15-02-2024 | 28-02-2024 |
Exor N.V. | 11-04-2024 | 12-04-2024 |
Heineken N.V. | 14-02-2024 | 13-02-2024 |
IMCD N.V. | 01-03-2024 | 29-02-2024 |
Koninklijke KPN N.V. | 31-01-2024 | 28-02-2024 |
Koninklijke Philips N.V. | 29-01-2024 | 20-02-2024 |
Prosus N.V. | 27-06-2023 | 27-06-2023 |
Randstad N.V. | 13-02-2024 | 12-02-2024 |
RELX N.V. | 15-02-2024 | 14-02-2024 |
Shell PLC | 01-02-2024 | 13-03-2024 |
Unilever PLC | 08-02-2024 | 07-03-2024 |
Universal Music Group N.V. | 28-02-2024 | 28-03-2024 |
Wolters Kluwer N.V. | 21-02-2024 | 20-02-2024 |